Weekly Recap

Celsius’ Big Drop, Year-End Rally Stats, Small Retailers, and Value “Stocks on Sale”

November 30, 2024

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Weekly Recap: Celsius’ Big Drop, Year-End Rally Stats, Small Retailers, and Value “Stocks on Sale”

Dear Intelligent Investor,

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In case you missed any of this week’s issues, you can catch up on them below. Or hit save on this email to review them over the weekend.

Tuesday, November 26, 2024

  • Celsius Holdings’ stock has declined 71% from its peak, now trading at a forward P/E of 30 and a price-to-sales ratio of 4.6, indicating it’s still valued as a growth stock.

  • The recent revenue decline is due to PepsiCo reducing overstocked inventory, not a decrease in consumer demand.

  • Celsius maintains a strong balance sheet with $904 million in cash and no long-term debt, suggesting potential for recovery.

Wednesday, November 27, 2024

  • Historically, the S&P 500 rises 60% of the time during Thanksgiving week, with an average gain of 0.28%.

  • In presidential election years, the success rate increases to 75%, with an average gain of 0.88%.

  • The “Santa Claus Rally,” occurring in the last week of December and the first two trading days of January, has delivered positive returns 79% of the time, averaging 1.3%.

Thursday, November 28, 2024

  • Black Friday online sales are expected to reach $10.8 billion, up 9.9% from 2023.

  • Smaller retailers like Macy’s, Kohl’s, and The Gap face stiff competition from giants like Amazon and Walmart but may attract shoppers with targeted discounts and localized strategies.

  • Despite economic pressures, U.S. consumer spending remains resilient, with shoppers planning to spend $1,778 this holiday season, an 8% increase from last year.

Friday, November 29, 2024

  • A screen identified a dozen stocks with earnings yields over 6.67%, sales growth above 10%, and earnings growth exceeding 15%, indicating potential undervalued opportunities.

  • Companies like PDD Holdings, Chubb, and Western Midstream meet these criteria, offering attractive valuations.

  • Value investors can always find “stocks on sale” daily by focusing on strong financial metrics and growth potential.

Thank you for reading today!

Happy Investing,
Value Investor Daily

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